26m ago
Bitcoin's Chart Resembles the 2022 Bottom as Whales Move Coins to Exchanges
Bitcoin's current market structure is starting to look like the bottoming pattern seen in 2022, according to on-chain metrics and technical analysis shared by widely followed analyst Ali Martinez. The setup suggests potential upside before another steep decline, but analysts warn that heavy whale activity could complicate the bullish case.
Martinez notes that during the 2022 bear market, BTC briefly pushed toward $25,000 in August/September before suffering a major rejection and sliding to lows below $16,000. He argues the present chart carries similar characteristics. If the move continues to track that historical path, bitcoin could rally toward the $80,000$82,000 area, face a sharp rejection, and then drop below $55,000.
The $79,000$80,000 zone is also seen as a major technical ceiling due to large sell walls from whales, as highlighted by analyst CW. Bitcoin has stalled near $79,500 multiple times in recent weeks, and each pullback has erased several thousand dollars from the price.
Another bearish signal comes from exchange flows. Martinez says large holders have sent more than 10,000 BTC to centralized exchanges recently, roughly $770 million at current prices, a pattern often associated with positioning to sell.
Separately, Crypto Tony expects bitcoin's bounce to $77,600 over the past 12 hours to be followed by another rejection.
Still, momentum has improved on a monthly basis. CoinGlass data shows bitcoin finished April up 11.87%, marking its strongest April performance since April 2025.