1h ago
Bitcoin demand cools, leaving the market's bottoming outlook unclear
CoinMarketCap cited overseas reports saying that after this week's sharp pullback, both market sentiment and on-chain indicators have deteriorated. The report argues that despite Bitcoin moving close to key support, price action still looks more like continued deleveraging and stop-loss driven liquidations than a confirmed market bottom.
Bitcoin is down about 16% week-to-date, probing support near $60,000 as risk appetite fades. Santiment data shows sentiment was highly bullish in late May when Bitcoin neared $78,000, but flipped negative quickly after the price slipped below that level. The report notes that euphoria near highs and pessimism during declines are common; the real test for a bottom is whether fresh buying emerges to absorb selling pressure.
Demand metrics are weakening. Spot demand fell by roughly 272,000 BTC over the past 30 days, while futures demand dropped by about 229,000 BTC, bringing total demand contraction to around 501,000 BTC.
On-chain figures also show losses spreading across supply. More than half of Bitcoin's supply is now in unrealized loss, with about 10.5 million BTC underwater versus roughly 9.8 million BTC still in unrealized profit. Historically, conditions like this have often appeared near major bottoms, but the report says clear signs of long-term accumulation have not emerged this time. The focus, it adds, is less on how many positions are losing money and more on whether buyers are willing to consistently absorb sell pressure; without sufficient demand, additional declines could reinforce further selling.
Selling pressure is coming from both long-term and short-term holders. Glassnode data shows that as Bitcoin slid toward $62,000, single-day realized losses climbed to about $1.3 billion. Long-term holders accounted for roughly $770 million, or 59% of the total, suggesting some investors who bought near cycle highs are now exiting at a loss.
Short-term holder behavior is also deteriorating. CryptoQuant data indicates that about 53,800 BTC from loss positions flowed into exchanges over the past 24 hours, while inflows from profit positions fell close to zero. The report describes this as the most pronounced loss-dominated short-term exchange inflow since the start of the year.
Putting these signals together, the report concludes that Bitcoin remains in a phase where selling pressure has yet to fully clear. Even as prices approach historical zones where buying interest often appears, shrinking demand, a growing share of loss-making supply, and heavier exchange-related selling suggest a near-term bottom still lacks firm confirmation.