5h ago
Bitcoin Miners, Neocloud Stocks Slide on AI Bubble Fears
Bitcoin miners pivoting into artificial intelligence, among them Riot Platforms, MARA Holdings, IREN and Core Scientific, have sold off this month as fears of an AI bubble build.
Riot fell to $12.53, its lowest since April and 60% below this year's high, shrinking its valuation from more than $10.8 billion to $4.7 billion. MARA dropped to $7, a February low and 57% below its year-to-date peak. Core Scientific slipped to $13.10 from a year-to-date peak of $30. IREN has drawn heavy selling as well.
Losses deepened across other neocloud names, including CoreWeave, Nebius and TeraWulf, as anxiety over the AI industry intensified. The AI Stock Bubble Index has climbed to an elevated 74.
The shares extended this month's declines after Gartner warned that neocloud operators will have to disclose substantial impairments in late 2030, pointing to a wide shortfall between expected revenue and costs. Debt-funded AI expansion also leaves the group exposed to elevated credit risk. A VanEck report published earlier this year estimated a $50 billion funding gap for bitcoin miners moving into AI, a hole likely to widen as memory, GPU and server costs rise.
CoreWeave, the largest company in the sector, now pays a 15% yield on its key 2031 bond. Investors have resisted efforts by Nvidia-backed Nscale and Firmus to reach public markets: Firmus withdrew its initial public offering, and Nscale shareholders want the company valued at about $15 billion.
Competition is likely to weigh on results over time. SpaceX has emerged as a major rival, signing significant agreements with Alphabet, Anthropic and Reflection AI. Meta Platforms, another large neocloud customer, is weighing a move into the industry by renting out spare computing capacity.
Those risks explain the crowded short positioning in the sector: IREN at 20.7%, Core Scientific at 20.54%, Riot at 12.5% and MARA at 26%.