Gold fell to $4,623.93 per ounce this week after March 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose by 178,000, well above the 59,000 consensus estimate. The data pushed the dollar and Treasury yields higher, undercutting non-yielding gold and leaving it about 15%–19% below early-March highs tied to Operation Epic Fury. Silver held above $73.75/oz, with $70 cited as a key support level.

Polymarket's contract on the United States invading Iran this year rose to 63% on Sunday after a social media post by US President Donald Trump. The market had previously peaked at 68% on March 29, and the contract had about $3.74 million in volume at publication. Risk assets showed limited follow-through afterward, with Bitcoin hovering near $67,500 and Brent crude remaining above $109 per barrel.

Bitcoin and Ethereum moved mostly sideways over the week, while Solana lagged, as traders weighed risk-off macro signals alongside crypto-specific threats. Market watchers flagged Bitcoin's 200-week moving average near $59k and realized price around $54k, while a Google quantum research paper claimed a 20x advance that could affect elliptic-curve cryptography used by major blockchains. In DeFi, a $260M–$285M exploit on Drift Protocol reignited debate over response speed and stablecoin controls, alongside broader disputes about centralization in networks such as Canton and Solana's consensus design.

XRP and Bitcoin stayed under pressure in early April as WTI crude moved above $113 per barrel and risk sentiment weakened. XRP fell more than 2% to below $1.30, while Bitcoin slipped 0.3% and remained under $67,000. Traders are focusing on the April 9 U.S. inflation data, with expectations that it could shape volatility and positioning across crypto.

As of April 5, 2026, XRPL addresses rose to 8,189,798 while XRP traded around $1.30-$1.33 after falling more than 60% from about $3.65 in July 2025. Separately, security commentary tied to the April 1, 2026 Drift Protocol hack raised unverified claims about DPRK-linked developers across projects, and on-chain data showed a 0.0257 BTC move from a Dec. 12, 2012 wallet with an LTH SOPR of 4,913. Bitcoin meanwhile stayed in a tight $66,900-$67,300 range ahead of the April 9 Core PCE release.

On April 5, 2026, Bitcoin traded around $67,000, about 47% below its $126,272 all-time high set on October 6, while sentiment stayed pinned in extreme fear. The selloff followed a February move to raise tariffs by 15% and was compounded by the April 1, 2026 Drift Protocol exploit that drained $285 million in minutes, triggering broader Solana ecosystem fallout.

Fed funds futures tracked by the CME FedWatch Tool imply a 99.5% chance the Federal Reserve keeps rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. The repricing follows WTI moving above $110 per barrel and Brent settling above $107 amid the reported U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while prediction markets lift the probability of zero 2026 cuts to 36% on Polymarket and 38.5% on Kalshi. Markets also assign a 96.7% probability of another hold at the June 17 meeting.

The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) criticized the OCC’s conditional approval of Coinbase National Trust Company, warning it could increase risk for U.S. consumers. The OCC approval was granted on April 2 after Coinbase filed on Oct. 3, 2025, for a non-insured national trust bank in New York focused on institutional custody and digital-asset fiduciary services.