50m ago
Kalshi crypto perpetuals revive dispute: should regulators treat them as futures or swaps?
Kalshi's rollout of CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual contracts has reopened a long-standing argument over how the instruments should be classified in U.S. markets. Market veterans are split on whether perpetuals align more with futures—exchange-traded and centrally cleared—or with swaps, given their funding-rate cash-flow mechanics. The answer could shape who can trade them and what rules apply, while concerns about manipulation around funding-rate calculations remain a key point of contention.
50m ago
56m ago
U.S. Commerce Dept. plans $2B quantum awards as post-quantum defense lags
Last month, the U.S. Commerce Department signed letters of intent to award just over $2 billion to nine quantum computing firms, including $1B for IBM and $375M for GlobalFoundries. The author argues this accelerates the race toward a cryptographically relevant quantum computer, while post-quantum defenses for Bitcoin and other systems remain slowed by coordination and adoption barriers. NIST timelines cited in the piece deprecate RSA-2048 and ECDSA at 112-bit security in 2030 and disallow them in 2035, raising pressure for industry-wide migration planning.
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56m ago
1h ago
Macquarie: World Cup 2026 Betting Could Exceed $50B as Prediction Markets Expand
Macquarie projects global wagering on the 2026 World Cup could surpass $50 billion, up from $35 billion in 2022, as the tournament expands to 48 teams and 104 matches. The event began June 11 in Mexico City and is the first World Cup to feature regulated U.S. prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket alongside sportsbooks. Crypto sportsbooks including Stake, Betfury, and 1win are also running World Cup promotions worth millions in rewards.
1h ago