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Bitcoin hovered around $67,000 on Saturday afternoon as U.S.-Iran tensions intensified following President Donald Trump's April 4, 2026 post giving Iran 48 hours to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The wider backdrop included Operation Epic Fury, which U.S. forces say has hit more than 9,000 targets since Feb. 28, 2026, alongside oil prices rising above $100 to $110 a barrel. BTC briefly dipped below $68,000 before returning to the $67,000 area, after earlier sliding toward a 2026 low near $65,834 and then rebounding.

Bitcoin traded at $66,845 at the time of writing, up 0.42% over the past 24 hours, while price action stayed range-bound. On-chain and flow metrics suggest weaker demand as exchange withdrawals hit 908 addresses and large-holder accumulation appears to stall. In derivatives, funding was slightly positive at 0.0037% but Open Interest slipped 0.87% to $46.14 billion, pointing to cautious positioning.

Coinbase analysts say the crypto market faces elevated risk as President Donald Trump's April 6 deadline on the Iran deal approaches. David Duong warned that a prolonged standoff could raise geopolitical risk premia across energy and broader risk assets, leaving crypto vulnerable into the weekend. Bitcoin hovered near $68K as SOPR neared 1, while options data showed stronger demand for downside protection into late April.

Dogecoin (DOGE) traded around $0.091 after rising 0.95% in the past 24 hours, while volume fell 23% to $543 million. Since March 31, 2026, whales have accumulated more than 500 million DOGE as price ranged between $0.087 and $0.101. Traders are watching $0.095 for a bullish daily close and $0.08821 as a key support level.

Prediction markets are signaling heightened April 2026 geopolitical risk, with odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by month-end falling from 76.5% to about 10%. Separate oil contracts show 76.5% expect WTI to top $120, including 53.5% pricing $130 and nearly a third projecting $140+. The shift suggests traders are positioning for continued disruption and near-term volatility across risk assets, including crypto.

Cardano (ADA) saw heightened whale-driven activity over the past week even as the token fell about 8%. Data cited from Santiment shows large holders accumulated roughly 220 million ADA during the same period, while separate commentary pointed to some ADA being rotated into NIGHT. ADA was priced at $0.2407 at press time, down 1.19% over the last 24 hours.

On April 3, analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin retail participation hit a record low, with transactions under 1 BTC dropping sharply. Using Binance data, the 30-day moving average of retail BTC inflows was reported at 332 BTC, the lowest since the exchange launched in 2017. The post attributed the decline to mixed factors, including ETF adoption since January 2024 and some capital rotation into other markets.

Bitcoin could trigger a large short squeeze if price climbs 7.5% from about $67,100 to $72,000, a move that would liquidate an estimated $2.5 billion in BTC futures shorts. Bears have added positions since March 25 amid war-driven oil strength and other macro pressures, while a ceasefire or renewed US-listed Bitcoin ETF inflows could help push BTC back toward $72,000.

Trader and commentator Scott Melker says the current Bitcoin drawdown should be viewed as a deep bull-market dip rather than a classic bear market, after BTC peaked at $126K in October 2025. He points to four bottom-type signals he tracks—weekly RSI extremes, an all-time-low Fear & Greed reading, record "Bitcoin going to zero" search interest, and price nearing the 200-week moving average—while arguing altcoin liquidity has been pulled into prediction markets.

On April 4, 2026, Bitcoin's social sentiment fell to its most fearful level since Feb. 28, even as the price traded around $67,160 with RSI near 60 and above the 50-day SMA. Over the prior 72 hours, whale wallets increased holdings from 4.21M to 4.23M BTC, a net gain of about 10,000 BTC, while large exchange inflows also hit their highest level since April 2024.